Asset Holding and Consumption: Evidence from Japanese Panel Data in the 1990s
JEL Classification: D12
Abstract
The 1990s crash in Japan’s stock and land market should have had adverse effects on household consumption. This paper takes advantage of a panel data from Japanese households to evaluate impacts of the wealth gains or losses on households’ spending. We find that stockholders’ consumption is responsive to stock market movements while this is not necessarily the case for non-stockholders, suggesting the importance of “direct” wealth effects. Moreover, we observe the MPCs out of stock price and real estate price changes are roughly comparable and estimated to be 0.05 to 0.1 slightly higher than previous estimates using aggregate data.
Keywords:
Asset holding, Consumption, Japan, Panel dataAcknowledgments
We thank to the Institute of Household Economy (Kakei-Keizai-Kenkyu-Sho) for providing us micro-level data from the Japanese Panel Survey of Consumption. We are also grateful to anonymous referees and participants at the ESRI seminar at the Cabinet Office. The views expressed in this paper are those of authors and do not necessarily reflect those of the ESRI or of the Japanese Government.
References
- Ando, Albert, Yamashita, Michiko, and Murayama, Junki. “An Analysis on Consumption and Saving Behavior Based on Life-Cycle Hypothesis? An Analysis on Japanese Household's High Saving Using the National Survey of Family Income and Expenditure.” Keizai Bunseki No. 101, Economic Planning Agency, 1986 (in Japanese).
- Attanasio, P. Orazio, Banks, James, and Tanner, Sarah. “Asset Holding and Consumption Volatility.” Journal of Political Economy 110 (No. 4 2002): 771-92. [https://doi.org/10.1086/340774]
- Brav, Alon, Constantinides, George M., and Geczy, Christopher C. “Asset Pricing with Heterogeneous Consumers and Limited Participation: Empirical Evidence.” Journal of Political Economy 110 (No. 4 2002): 793-824. [https://doi.org/10.1086/340776]
- Dynan, Karen E., and Maki, Dean M. Does Stock Market Wealth Matter for Consumption? Federal Reserve Board Finance and Economics Discussion Series Working Paper, 2001-23, 2001. [https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.270190]
- Hall, Robert E. “Intertemporal Substitution in Consumption.” Journal of Political Economy 96 (No. 2 1988): 339-57. [https://doi.org/10.1086/261539]
- Hayashi, Fumio. Understanding Saving. MIT Press, 1997.
- Horioka, Charles. “Capital Gains in Japan: Their Magnitude and Impacts on Consumption.” Economic Journal 106 (No. 436 1996): 560-77. [https://doi.org/10.2307/2235563]
- Institute of Industry. “Wagakuni no Shouhi to Sisan Hoyuu no Kouzou Hendou Youin to Shourai Yosoku nado ni kansuru Chousa Kenkyuu.” (Reports on Structural Factors in Japanese Consumption and Asset Holdings and Future Predictions). Tokyo, 2003.
- Kohara, Miki. “Consumption Insurance between Japanese Households.” Applied Economics 33 (No. 6 2001): 791-800. [https://doi.org/10.1080/00036840121946]
- Mankiw, N. Gregory, and Zeldes, Stephan P. “The Consumption of Stockholders and Nonstockholders.” Journal of Financial Economics 29 (No. 1 1991): 97-112. [https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(91)90015-C]
- Ogawa, Kasuo, and Kitasaka, Shinichi. Sisan Sizyo to Keiki Hendou (Asset Markets and Business Cycles). Tokyo: Nikkei-Shumbun Sha, 1998.
- Otoo, Maria W. Consumption Sentiment and the Stock Market. Federal Reserve Board Finance and Economics Discussion Series Working Paper, 1999-60, 1999. [https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.1999.60]
- Parker, Jonathan A. Spendthrift in America? On Two Decades of Decline in the U.S. Saving Rate. In B. S. Bernanke and J. J. Rotemberg (eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual. Cambridge: MIT Press, 1999. [https://doi.org/10.3386/w7238]
- Poterba, James. “Stock Market Wealth and Consumption.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 14 (No. 2 2000): 99-118. [https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.14.2.99]
- Poterba, James, and Samwick, Andrew. “Stock Ownership Patterns, Stock Market Fluctuations, and Consumption.” Brooking Papers on Economic Activity 2 (1995): 295-357. [https://doi.org/10.2307/2534614]
- Starr-McCluer, Martha. Stock Market Wealth and Consumer Spending. Federal Reserve Board Finance and Economics Discussion Series Working Paper, 1998-20, 1998. [https://doi.org/10.17016/FEDS.1998.20]
- Vissing-Jorgensen, Annette. “Limited Asset Market Participation and the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution.” Journal of Political Economy 110 (No. 4 2002): 825-53. [https://doi.org/10.1086/340782]