Demand Uncertainty and the Choice of Business Model in the Semiconductor Industry
JEL Classification: D24, D40, D81, E22, L23
Abstract
In this paper, we provide another reason that may explain the wide adoption of outsourcing approach in the semiconductor industry. We show the fab-lite business model of outsourcing wafer fabrication to foundries is optimal in the presence of demand uncertainty. This is because outsourcing helps the integrated device manufacturer (largely the brand-producing firm) to lower its cost of capital investment in the case of low demand and to improve its capacity allocation in the case of high demand.
Keywords:
Outsourcing, Capital investment, UncertaintyAcknowledgments
We thank the Editor, anonymous referees, Justin Yifu Lin, CY Lu, Preston McAfee, Abhinay Muthoo, Roderick James McCrorie, and Hao Wang for their valuable suggestions and comments. We would also like to thank the seminar participants at the China Center for Economic Research (CCER) for providing important comments. The authors are greatly indebted to the National Science Council, Taiwan for the research grant (#NSC 92-2115-M-39-002-).
References
- Abel, A. B., Dixit, A. K., Eberly, J. C., and Pindyck, R. S. “Options, the Value of Capital, and Investment.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 111 (No. 3 1996): 753-77. [https://doi.org/10.2307/2946671]
- Abraham, K. G., and Taylor, S. K. “Firm's Use of Outside Contractors: Theory and Evidence.” Journal of Labor Economics 14 (No. 3 1996): 394-424. [https://doi.org/10.1086/209816]
- Caballero, R. “On the Sign of the Investment-Uncertainty Relationship.” American Economic Review 81 (No. 1 1991): 279-88.
- Deavers, K. L. “Outsourcing: A Corporate Competitiveness Strategy, Not a Search for Low Wages.” Journal of Labor Research 18 (No. 4 1997): 503-19. [https://doi.org/10.1007/s12122-997-1019-2]
- Dixit, A. K., and Pindyck, R. S. Expandability, Reversibility, and Optimal Capacity Choice. Working Paper No. 6373, National Bureau of Economic Research, 1998. [https://doi.org/10.3386/w6373]
- Fabless Semiconductor Association (FSA). Publications - Outsourcing Trends. Available at http://www.fsa.org/pubs/outsourcing Trends/default.asp, , 2003.
- Feenstra, R. C., and Hanson, G. H. “Globalization, Outsourcing and Wage Inequality.” American Economic Review 86 (No. 2 1996): 240-5. [https://doi.org/10.3386/w5424]
- Föllmer, H., and Schied, A. Stochastic Finance. An Introduction in Discrete Time. Berlin: Walter de Gruyter, 2002. [https://doi.org/10.1515/9783110198065]
- Grossman, G., and Helpman, E. “Integration versus Outsourcing in Industry Equilibrium.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 117 (No. 1 2002): 85-120. [https://doi.org/10.1162/003355302753399454]
- Hartman, R. “The Effects of Price and Cost Uncertainty on Investment.” Journal of Economic Theory 5 (No. 2 1972): 258-66. [https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(72)90105-6]
- Levhari, D., and Peles, Y. “Market Structure, Quality and Durability.” The Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science 4 (No. 1 1973): 235-48. [https://doi.org/10.2307/3003146]
- Pindyck, R. S. “Irreversible Investment, Capacity Choice, and the Value of the Firm.” American Economic Review 78 (No. 5 1988): 969-85.
- Pindyck, R. S. “A Note on Competitive Investment under Uncertainty.” American Economic Review 83 (No. 1 1993): 273-7.
- Sandmo, A. “On the Theory of the Competitive Firm under Price Uncertainty.” American Economic Review 61 (No. 1 1971): 65-73.
- Shy, O., and Stenbacka, R. “Strategic Outsourcing.” Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization 50 (No. 2 2003): 203-24. [https://doi.org/10.1016/S0167-2681(02)00048-3]