Seoul Journal of Economics
[ Article ]
Seoul Journal of Economics - Vol. 27, No. 3, pp.349-386
ISSN: 1225-0279 (Print)
Print publication date 31 Aug 2014
Received 14 May 2014 Revised 31 Jul 2014 Accepted 01 Aug 2014

Agricultural Sector Development and Structural Transformation: Sub-Saharan Africa versus East Asia

Hee-Sik Kim ; Mthuli Ncube
Senior economist in the Office of Economic Research Institute of the Bank of Korea hkims@bok.or.kr
Chief economist and vice president of the African Development Bank m.ncube@afdb.org

JEL Classification: O13, O14, O43

Abstract

This study examines the nature of economic stagnation in the majority of the countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and discusses different approaches to structural transformation of their traditional agriculture- based economies. The argument is that the economies and people of SSA countries suffer from a Malthusian stagnation and poverty. This study attributes the Malthusian stagnation to underutilization of the richly endowed land and other agricultural resources, which in turn is due to the prevalence of “communal ownership of land” in rural areas. It argues that the traditional institution has kept agricultural productivity at extremely low levels and prevented a demographic dividend from being created. This study reviews the experiences of East Asian and other countries in their early stage of economic development along with those of SSA to understand the process of an economic takeoff. From this emerges the importance of broad-based agricultural development in enabling a traditional agriculture-based economy to get prepared for the takeoff. In particular, it turns out that internalizing the external effects of agricultural development on human development and its effects on savings is the key. It also finds supportive evidences from panel-data analyses of the dynamic driving forces in different stages of economic development.

Keywords:

Sub-Saharan Africa, Agricultural development, Demographic dividend, Communal ownership of land, Industrial development

Acknowledgments

The authors appreciate the comments of Peter Walkenhorst, Albert Mafusire, Adeleke Salami, Alex M. Mubiru, Alyssa Lubet, David Bloom and other anonymous referees.

References

  • Acemoglu, Daron, and James Robinson. Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. New York: Crown Publishers, 2012. [https://doi.org/10.1355/ae29-2j]
  • African Development Bank. The Bank Group’s Urban Development Strategy: Transforming Africa’s Cities and Towns into Engines of Economic Growth and Social Development. Tunis: Operational Resources and Policies Department, African Development Bank, 2011.
  • African Union, African Development Bank, and UN Economic Commission for Africa, Framework and Guidelines on Land Policy in Africa — Land Policy in Africa: A Framework to Strengthen Land Rights, Enhance Productivity and Secure Livelihoods, Addis Ababa, 2010.
  • Aghion, Philippe, Diego A. Comin, Peter Howitt and Isabel Tecu. When Does Domestic Saving Matter for Economic Growth?, Harvard Business School BGIE Unit Working Paper No. 09-080, 2009. [https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1328359]
  • Arellano, M. and O. Bover. “Another Look at the Instrumental Variable Estimation of Error Component Models.” Journal of Econometrics 68 (No. 1 1995): 29-51. [https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)01642-D]
  • Azariadis, Costas, and Allan Drazen. “Threshold Externalities in Economic Development.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 105 (No. 2 1990): 501-26. [https://doi.org/10.2307/2937797]
  • Azariadis, Costas, and Allan Drazen. “Endogenous Fertility in Models of Growth.” Revista de Analisis Economico 8 (No. 2 1993): 3-18.
  • Boserup, Ester. Conditions of Agricultural Growth: The Economics of Agrarian Change under Population Pressure. Chicago: Aldine, 1965.
  • Bloom, David E., and Jeffrey D. Sachs. “Geography, Demography, and Economic Growth in Africa.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2 (1998). [https://doi.org/10.2307/2534695]
  • Bloom, David E., and David Canning. The Demographic Dividend- A New Perspective on the Economic Consequence. Santa Monica, CA: Rand Institute, 2003. [https://doi.org/10.7249/MR1274]
  • De la Croix, David, and Omar Licandro. The Child is Father of the Man: Implications for the Demographic Transition, Keynote Lecture, Conference on The Institutional and Social Dynamics of Growth and Distribution, Lucca, Italy, December 10-12, 2007.
  • EU Task Force on Land Tenure. EU Land Policy Guidelines Guidelines for Support to Land Policy Design and Land Policy Reform Processes in Developing Countries. Available at: http://ec.europa.eu/development/icenter/repository/EU_Land_Guidelines_Final_12_2004_en.pdf.
  • Fogel, Robert William. Economic Growth, Population Theory, and Physiology: The Bearing of Long-Term Processes on the Making of Economic Policy, Nobel Lecture, 1993. [https://doi.org/10.3386/w4638]
  • Galor, Oded, and David N. Weil. “Population, Technology, and Growth: From Malthusian Stagnation to the Demographic Transition and Beyond,” The American Economic Review 90 (No. 4 2000): 806-28. [https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.90.4.806]
  • Goodfriend, Marvin, and John McDermott. “Early Development,” American Economic Review 85 (1995): 116-33.
  • Heinsohn, G. Söhne und Weltmacht: Terror im Aufstieg und Fall der Nationen. Bern: Orell Füssli, 2003.
  • Hirschman, Albert O. The Strategy of Economic Development. New Haven, Connecticut: Yale University Press, 1958.
  • Jimenez, Emmanuel. “Human and Physical Infrastructure: Public Investment and Pricing Policies in Developing Countries.” Handbook of Development Economics 3 (1995): 2773-843. [https://doi.org/10.1016/S1573-4471(95)30020-1]
  • John, A. H. “Agricultural Productivity and Economic Growth in England, 1700-1760.” The Journal of Economic History 25 (No. 1 1965): 19-34. [https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050700061374]
  • Jorgenson, D. W. “The Development of a Dual Economy.” Economic Journal 71 (No. 282 1961): 309-34. [https://doi.org/10.2307/2228770]
  • Kang, Kenneth, and Vijaya Ramachandran. “Economic Transformation in Korea: Rapid Growth without an Agricultural Revolution?” Economic Development and Cultural Change 47 (No. 4 1999): 783-801. [https://doi.org/10.1086/452432]
  • Kariuki, Peninah Wanjira. “The Impact of Interest Rate Liberalisation on Financial Savings : the Case of Kenya.” African Review of Money Finance and Banking (No. 1/2 1995): 5-23.
  • Kim, Joon-Kyung. Shared Growth: Korea’s Experience During the Take-Off Period, Presentation at a Seminar at the African Development Bank, KDI School of Public Policy and Management, 2010.
  • Kuznets, Simon. Economic Growth and Structure: Selected Essays. Toronto: Norton, 1967.
  • Lee, Hyojung. “Industrial Output Fluctuations in Developing Countries: General Equilibrium Consequences of Agricultural Productivity Shocks.” Department of Economics, Purdue University, West Lafayette, December 2013, Unpublished.
  • Lewis, W. A. “Economic Development with Unlimited Supplies of Labour.” Manchester School 28 (No. 2 1954): 139-91. [https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.1954.tb00021.x]
  • Maddison, Angus. The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective. Paris: Development Centre Studies, The OECD, 2003. [https://doi.org/10.1787/9789264104143-en]
  • Mankiw, N. G., D. Romer, and D. N.Weil. “A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth.” Quarterly Journal of Economics 107 (1992): 407-37. [https://doi.org/10.2307/2118477]
  • Mason, E. S., Man-Je Kim, D. H. Perkins, Kwang-Suk Kim, and D. C. Cole. The Economic and Social Modernization of the Republic of Korea. Cambridge, Massachusetts: Cambridge, 1980. [https://doi.org/10.1163/9781684172252]
  • Matchaya, Greenwell C. Land Ownership and Productivity in Malawi: A Conditional Recursive Mixed Process Analysis. Leeds University Business School Working Paper Series Vol. 1, No. 3, 2010.
  • Matsuyama, Kiminori. “Agricultural Productivity, Comparative Advantage, and Economic Growth.” Journal of Economic Theory 58 (No. 2 1992): 317-34. [https://doi.org/10.1016/0022-0531(92)90057-O]
  • McKay, Andy. “Growth and Poverty Reduction in Africa in the Last Two Decades: Evidence from an AERC Growth-Poverty Project and Beyond.” Journal of African Economies 22 (Supplement1 2013): i49-i76. [https://doi.org/10.1093/jae/ejs029]
  • McKinnon, R. Money and Capital in Economic Development. Washington DC: Brookings Institution, 1973.
  • Myint, H. “Agriculture and Economic Development in the Open Economy.” In L. G., Reynolds (ed.) Agriculture in Development Theory, New Haven: Yale University Press, pp. 327-354, 1975.
  • North, Douglas C. Institutions, Institutional Change, and Economic Performance. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990. [https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511808678]
  • Ostrom, Elinor. Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1990. [https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511807763]
  • Rostow, Walt Whitman. The Stages of Economic Growth: A Non-Communist Manifesto. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1960.
  • Sabala, Kizito Michael. A Comparative Study of Industrialization Strategies in Sub-Saharan Africa and South East Asia: Case Study of Kenya and South Korea, Research Paper, University of Nairobi. Available at: http://erepository.uonbi.ac.ke, .
  • Sakuyama, Takumi. The Roles of Agriculture in Development: Findings, Lessons and Policy Implications from A FAO Project. Roles of Agriculture Project Brief, Number 2, Agricultural Development Economics Division of the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, 2007.
  • Salami, Adeleke, Abdul B. Kamara, and Zuzana Brixiova. Smallholder Agriculture in East Africa: Trends, Constraints and Opportunities. African Development Bank Working Paper, No. 105, 2010.
  • Shaw, E. S. Financial Deepening in Economic Development. New York: Oxford University Press, 1973.
  • Syrquin, Moshe. “Growth and Structural Change in Latin America since 1960: A Comparative Analysis.” Economic Development and Cultural Change 34 (No. 3 1986): 433-54. [https://doi.org/10.1086/451544]
  • Temple, Jonathan, and Paul A. Johnson. “Social Capability and Economic Growth.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 113 (No. 3 1998): 965-90. [https://doi.org/10.1162/003355398555711]
  • The Commission on Growth and Development. The Growth Report Strategies for Sustained Growth and Inclusive Development, 2008.
  • The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD). The Least Developed Countries Report 2010: Towards a New International Development Architecture for LDCs. New York: UNCTAD, 2010.
  • The World Bank. World Development Report 2007: Development and the Next Generations. Washington, DC: The World Bank, 2006. [https://doi.org/10.1596/978-0-8213-6541-0]
  • The World Bank. World Development Report 2008: Agriculture for Development. Washington, DC: The World Bank, 2007. [https://doi.org/10.1596/978-0-8213-6807-7]
  • Timmer, C. Peter. “Agriculture and Economic Development.” Handbook of Agricultural Economics 2 (2002): 1487-546. [https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0072(02)10011-9]
  • Timmer, C. Peter. “The Agricultural Transformation.” In H. Chenery, and T. N. Srinivasan (eds.), Handbook of Development Economics, Vol. 83, No. 3, pp. 375-395, 1988.
  • World Agroforestry Centre. Creating an Evergreen Agriculture in Africa for Food Security and Environmental Resilience. Nairobi Kenya: World Agroforestry Centre, 2009.